I had to read the article to see if it was by Donald Trump It isnt, but sounds like the author is in denial the same as Trump has been for the last few weeks.
Whilst the measures here in the Azores are intended to stop the spread of the Corona virus from Europe and the Americas. They have virtually shut down all businesses, IF the virus can be contained to the couple of cases we have, and none of the 259 people who are in 2 week quarantine(last arrivals from america and europe before they shut the airports) dont develop the disease, the azores will be clear in two weeks time, until they reopen! the ports. Failing that if the quarantine works, we might have another couple of weeks. Failing the quarantine working the Azores does not have enough respirators here to deal with the weak and elderley.
No new cases reported in China for 3 days other than those arriving from abroad, given 2 weeks of people in quarantine, they might consider them selves clear especially if they closed the airports. The azores has stopped all in coming flights, so with no new cases for the next couple of weeks they have nipped it in the bud for the time being.
An alternative way to dealing with the corona virus rather than letting it run its course, or quarantine, might be to deliberately infect, bands/groups of people who need to work and keep them in quarantine whilst they get over the disease, before allowing them to go back to work. This would create resistant groups, of people surrounding those who might be vulnerable.
It should I think be emphasized that not all the elderly will need hospital treatment to get over it, and not all the young will breeze through the disease with minor symptoms.
Edit Trumps timeline on the corona virus https://www.politifa...virus-pandemic/
Trump write that? No, Trump is a buffoon, totally incapable of thinking on that level. The article was written by a professor of medicine, of epidemiology and population health, of biomedical data science, and of statistics. That is why I give it considerable credibility; well, that and the fact it agrees with my own thinking!
Thanks for the response, but I have to tell you I don’t believe anything posted on politifact.
From the time WHO first notified the world of the outbreak in china, on Jan 20, Trump needed only 10 days to take the drastic step of blocking travel from China on Jan 30. Of course, the virus had spread by that time via ships and planes and it was just a matter of time before it was everywhere.
I’m not defending Tump, but I think he is fairly blameless in all of this; this is just a case of sh1t happens. I think he and his team are doing a reasonable job with the mess that came their way from China.
So far, around 270 Americans have died, about as many that die in one plane crash. Of those 270, most were elderly and/or had other serious morbidity 36 of them died in one nursing home where many mistakes were made. But, as harsh as this may seem, who goes into a nursing home and ever comes out alive? I do hope their deaths were not too traumatic on them or on their families.
Over 20,000 people die each day in the US, about 50% of them are elderly. Leading causes of non-accidental death among the elderly are cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory disease, diabetes, cancers and neurological disorders (which include diseases such as Alzheimer’s and dementia). If any of these people test positive for covid-19, it is a lot easier to write that on the death certificate than do an autopsy to find another cause.
Yes, I am suggesting the number of deaths being reported as due to covid-19 are very probably inflated, as many of them could fit into the other categories. (more on that follows regarding Italy)
I also still maintain that as more and more people test positive, who have little of no symptoms, the death ratio: Number of Deaths/Number of positive cases, will drop dramatically. The total number of people who die from this in one year will be down in the noise compared to the total number of people who die every year from other respiratory illness including the seasonal flu.
Alarmist “estimates” of millions dying are irresponsible and probably politically motivated.
As I said before, we will soon know the truth but if China and South Korea are examples to go by, the truth is already out there; this can and will be contained.
Now, Italy is a tough one. There are so many elderly people scattered around in many small villages, that containment is very difficult. But even there, they are taking a more accurate accounting now of the deaths that can be attributed to the coronavirus, as opposed to other causes. Take this news release as an example:
"Italy: in the city of Bergamo, there were 108 more deaths in the first 15 days of March this year compared to 2019 (164 deaths in 2020 vs. 56 deaths in 2019) according to the mayor of the city Giorgio Gori. During this period, 31 deaths were attributed to the coronavirus (less than 30% of the additional deaths this year)"
You don't see that sort of honesty often! The dishonest news media would rather report that all 108 additional deaths were from coronavirus! That old saw “there are lies, damn lies, and then there are statistics” is alive and well in 2020.