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The Age Of The Ice Is Upon Us? Ice Age Of The 21St Century.


Darky

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Hi,

 

I'm no experienced astronomer or an experienced person who can provide weather forecasts (not sure if anyone can provide a true forcast for 3 years into the future).

 

Lately, at a low attention, there has been a discussion going on. A math professor has pointed out that our sun is going into hibernation, causing the Earth to enter a mini Ice Age by the 2030s. Is this true? Lets discuss.

 

The research is based on a model (a model previously used to map sun-spots) which has had a 97% accuracy. Not only that but a few months back, Nasa posted an article proving that Antarctica is gaining more ice than it is losing (Mass gains of Antarctica Ice Sheet shows it is greater than loss). There are other theories (supported by facts) mentioned in that article as well, however, the actual reason is very much unknown. The only valid explanation was based on the math professor's model.

 

A new model of the Sun’s solar cycle is producing unprecedentedly accurate predictions of irregularities within the Sun’s 11-year heartbeat. The model draws on dynamo effects in two layers of the Sun, one close to the surface and one deep within its convection zone. Predictions from the model suggest that solar activity will fall by 60 per cent during the 2030s to conditions last seen during the ‘mini ice age’ that began in 1645.

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Zharkova (the math professor) and her team came up with the model using a method called “principal component analysis” of the magnetic field observations, from the Wilcox Solar Observatory in California. Looking forward to the next few solar cycles, her model predicts that from 2030 to 2040 there will be cause for a significant reduction in solar activity, which again, will lead to a mini ice age.

 

In cycle 26, the two waves exactly mirror each other – peaking at the same time but in opposite hemispheres of the Sun. Their interaction will be disruptive, or they will nearly cancel each other. We predict that this will lead to the properties of a “Maunder minimum.” Effectively, when the waves are approximately in phase, they can show strong interaction, or resonance, and we have strong solar activity. When they are out of phase, we have solar minimums. When there is full phase separation, we have the conditions last seen during the Maunder minimum, 370 years ago.

| Source |

 

How much of this is true? Discuss.

Edited by Darky
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No need, email any admin and have it moved.

Hi,

 

Already created a topic there (my mistake, should've waited - impatient me). Anyhow, if necessary - an admin can remove this.

 

Honestly, since it is correlated with the sun, for some reason I feel like it should be in both categories. Nontheless, you've been here longer and are more likely to be correct.

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